Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad Prediction: Match Analysis – 21 November 2026
Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad prediction for the Eliteserien match on Saturday, 21 November 2026: recent form, head-to-head record and the key numbers that decide it. More games: single soccer picks.
Eliteserien
Ham-Kam
FredrikstadBoth sides sit on 30 points at the midway stage of the season, but their paths to this fixture tell very different stories. Ham-Kam's mixed recent form contrasts sharply with Fredrikstad's weak run, yet history shows these teams have rarely settled a match decisively—a pattern that could shape how this contest unfolds.
Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad Prediction: The Numbers
Ham-Kam took 7 of a possible 15 points in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded); Fredrikstad took 4 of 12 (8 scored, 12 conceded). In their last 5 meetings Ham-Kam won 0, Fredrikstad won 2 and 3 ended level.
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The two sides have met five times across friendlies and Eliteserien competition. Fredrikstad holds a clear advantage: they have won 2 of these encounters, while Ham-Kam has not won any. Three matches have ended in draws. Most recently, in a friendly on 20 June 2026, the teams drew 1-1. In Eliteserien play, Fredrikstad won 2-1 at home on 16 May 2026 and drew 1-1 away on 5 October 2025, while Ham-Kam drew 1-1 at home on 20 July 2025. This history suggests Fredrikstad has had the upper hand when it matters, though the prevalence of draws indicates neither side has dominated these fixtures decisively. The sample is small but recent enough to be relevant to current form.
Recent Performance Trends
Ham-Kam's last five matches show a mixed picture: two wins, one draw, and two losses, yielding 7 points from available 15. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 8 in this spell, indicating a side capable of creating chances but vulnerable at the back. Fredrikstad's recent form is notably weaker. Over their last four matches, they have managed only 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses for 4 points, while scoring 8 goals but shipping 12—a defensive fragility that stands out. The away side's negative momentum contrasts with Ham-Kam's more balanced recent output, though neither team has established a clear upward trajectory.
Current Positions
Ham-Kam occupies 11th place with 30 points (6W, 2D, 5L from 13 matches), while Fredrikstad sits 12th, also on 30 points but with a significantly weaker record of 3W, 2D, 8L. The gap between the two teams is purely numerical; Ham-Kam's superior win count demonstrates greater resilience in securing three-point returns, whereas Fredrikstad has relied more heavily on draws and suffered more defeats despite matching their rivals' final point tally.
| Team | Rank | Points | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 11 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| Fredrikstad | 12 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
Eliteserien Mid-Season Battle
Round 27 of the 2026 Eliteserien season finds both clubs occupying the lower half of the table, level on points but with markedly different underlying records. Ham-Kam has accumulated 30 points from 13 matches with 6 wins, while Fredrikstad has reached the same tally with only 3 wins from 13 games. This disparity reflects a season in which Ham-Kam has been more consistent in converting opportunities, whereas Fredrikstad has struggled to build a winning sequence despite matching their opponent's point total.
Key Factors
Ham-Kam in mixed form (2 wins in last 5) vs. Fredrikstad's weak recent run (1 win in last 4)
Both teams tied on 30 points but Ham-Kam has 6 wins vs. Fredrikstad's 3 wins this season
Head-to-head heavily favors Fredrikstad: 2 wins to 0, with 3 draws in 5 meetings
Ham-Kam's defensive concern: 8 goals conceded in last 5 matches
Fredrikstad's attacking vulnerability: 12 goals conceded in last 4 matches
Contrasting Momentum in a Level Fixture
On paper, the 30-point stalemate suggests an even contest, yet the underlying signals tell a more nuanced story. Ham-Kam's superior win count this season and mixed but positive recent form (7 points in 5 games) indicate a team capable of competing at home, whereas Fredrikstad's weak recent form (4 points in 4 games) and defensive fragility—12 goals conceded in their last four outings—suggest they are vulnerable away from home. However, history provides a counterweight: Fredrikstad's unbeaten record against Ham-Kam (two wins and three draws) hints at a dynamic these teams understand well, potentially negating Ham-Kam's home advantage. The fixture is likely to hinge on whether Fredrikstad can tighten their defence and capitalize on their head-to-head edge, or whether Ham-Kam's recent solidity and home comfort prove decisive. Both sides are searching for consistency; the outcome may depend on which team's current struggles prove more correctable.