Coritiba vs Santos Prediction: Match Analysis – 18 November 2026
Coritiba vs Santos prediction for the Brasileirão Série A match on Wednesday, 18 November 2026: recent form, head-to-head record and the key numbers that decide it. More games: single soccer picks.
Brasileirão Série A
Coritiba
SantosWith 17 matches played in the Brasileirão Series A season, Coritiba and Santos meet in a fixture where recent form diverges sharply from their head-to-head history. Coritiba's weak recent form contrasts with their strong advantage in recent meetings, while Santos, despite mixed recent results, hold a standings edge and a superior long-term record in this rivalry.
Coritiba vs Santos Prediction: The Numbers
Coritiba took 4 of a possible 15 points in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded); Santos took 5 of 15 (5 scored, 6 conceded). In their last 5 meetings Coritiba won 1, Santos won 3 and 1 ended level.
This analysis is free. Our daily Single Soccer Picks are for members, with every result published.
See Today's PicksHead-to-Head Record
The two sides have met five times recently, spanning both Series A and lower-division competition. Santos hold a 3-1 advantage in wins from these five encounters, with one draw. Most significantly, Santos won 4-0 at home in July 2024 and 2-0 away in November 2024, establishing a pattern of dominance. However, Coritiba's most recent meeting—a 3-0 away victory at Santos in May 2026—shows they can perform against this opponent when it matters. An earlier 0-0 draw in Copa do Brasil (April 2026) and a 2-0 Santos away win in that same competition (May 2026) complete the picture. While Santos' overall record is superior, Coritiba's recent 3-0 win proves they are capable of producing a high-quality performance in this fixture, though that result remains the exception rather than the rule in their recent rivalry.
Form and Momentum
Coritiba's last five matches paint a picture of decline: 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, yielding just 4 points and a concerning goal difference of -1 (3 for, 4 against). Their defensive solidity has wavered, and they have struggled to create attacking momentum. Santos, by contrast, show mixed rather than weak form: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses for 5 points. Crucially, Santos have scored 5 goals across their last five matches compared to Coritiba's 3, suggesting a sharper attacking edge despite inconsistent results. Both sides have conceded 6 goals in this sample, indicating neither has a defensive advantage—a factor that could influence how open this match becomes.
Current League Positions
Santos sit 9th with 47 points from 17 matches (6 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses), while Coritiba are 12th with 42 points from the same number of games (6 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses). The five-point gap between them reflects Santos' marginal edge in converting chances, though neither side has built a commanding record. Coritiba's draw tally (5) is higher than Santos' (4), suggesting a team that has struggled to find decisive victories, whereas Santos have managed six wins to Coritiba's six—a similar tally that underscores how closely matched their overall season has been.
| Team | Rank | Points | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 12 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| Santos | 9 | 47 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
Brasileirão at the Business End
With 17 matches completed in the 2026 Brasileirão Series A season, both teams are well into the decisive phase of the campaign. Coritiba and Santos occupy mid-table positions, separated by three places and five points. This fixture falls in Round 35—meaning there are still several matches to play, but the margin for error is narrowing. Results in this phase carry weight for positioning and potential playoff implications, making every three points valuable.
Key Factors
Coritiba's weak recent form: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses over their last 5 matches, conceding more goals (4) than they have scored (3)
Santos' standings advantage: ranked 9th with 47 points versus Coritiba's 12th place with 42 points, despite mixed recent results
Head-to-head edge: Santos have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 4-0 home victory in July 2024, though Coritiba won 3-0 away most recently in May 2026
Defensive vulnerability: both sides have conceded 6 goals over their last 5 matches, raising questions about solidity in key moments
Recent momentum: Santos' 5 goals for over their last 5 matches outpace Coritiba's 3, suggesting sharper attacking play despite their mixed results
What to Watch
This fixture presents a classic tension between recent form and historical advantage. Coritiba's weak recent run—dominated by losses and defensive lapses—contrasts sharply with their ability to defeat Santos 3-0 just months ago, while Santos' superior standings position and three-win advantage in the head-to-head record are tempered by their own mixed recent results and lack of a clear attacking pattern. Santos' higher goal tally over the last five matches (5 vs. 3) suggests they carry more offensive threat, yet Coritiba's home advantage in Curitiba cannot be discounted, especially given their recent away win over this same opponent. The key battleground will likely be midfield control and defensive organization—both sides have been vulnerable at the back, and whichever team can limit turnovers and create clearer chances will have the edge. Coritiba need to recapture the form that produced their 3-0 victory, while Santos must convert their attacking superiority into a result that reinforces their standings advantage.